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Charts Price & Volume Weekly Summary Glossary
AETHER weekly Price Action chart, closing 2025-10-27
AETHER weekly Smart Money chart
AETHER Mansfield Relative Strength chart
AETHER weekly Market Demand chart
AETHER weekly Market Strength chart
AETHER weekly Market Dynamics chart
AETHER weekly Market Threshold chart

Price & Volume (8w)

Concise behaviour read over the last 8 weeks.
Executive summary

Last week closed down (-0.82%), and over the last 8 weeks price is up (2.49%) with a rising slope (0.366%/w). Ranges are compressing (current 0.88× mean; 38th pct; realised vol ≈ 1.15%). Price spends time in the middle band (rising), participation is below typical with a buying-tilt bias (z -4.02), money flow is falling, and posture is below 30w & 50w (drawdown 0.00%). Balance is mixed; watch participation shifts and behaviour at the 30-week average.

Weekly Change
-0.82%
Close → Close
0.09%
8-week Δ
2.49%
Slope / week
0.366%
Range Regime
compressing
%B Band
middle (rising)
Participation
below typical (buying-tilt)
Money Flow
falling
SMA Posture
below 30w & 50w
Drawdown (lookback)
0.0%
Breadth (Up/Down)
3 up / 5 down
Streaks
↑ 2 ↓ 2
Key signals
+2 −1
Positive
pol 0.35 conf 0.6
Price slope is positive on a weekly basis.
Uptrend pressure has been building.
Implications
Slope +0.37% per week; 8-week change +2.49%. Up/Down 3 up / 5 down; longest up-streak 2. Context: posture below 30w & 50w, %B ~ 50.75 with +3.55/w.
Positive
pol 0.2 conf 0.5
Weekly ranges are compressing.
Energy is coiling; breakouts often follow volatility contraction.
Implications
Current range is 0.88× the 8-week mean (38th pct). Realised weekly vol ≈ 1.15%. Watch for expansion days to confirm direction.
Negative
pol -0.25 conf 0.5
Weekly body closed lower while price sits below key averages.
Rallies may fade unless momentum repairs.
Implications
Distance to 30w -1.36%; to 50w -5.20%. Improvement needs higher lows and %B turning up.
All observations
6
Price is at/below the 30-week average but momentum is turning up.
Favourable asymmetry if follow-through appears.
pol conf 0.6
Range is compressing as momentum improves.
Coiled spring behaviour can precede thrust.
pol conf 0.55
Price remains materially below the 50-week average with weak money flow.
pol conf 0.55

Weekly Report (8w)

Plain-English highlights from each chart — with specific, numerical context.
Verdict: Positive Leaning: 0.613
Executive summary

This week: market dynamics are constructive (early-trend state improving); Smart Money flow tilts to accumulation. In practical terms: backdrop leans constructive; pullbacks can be buyable if structure holds; alignment between price and intent improves reliability of advances.

What to watch next
  • Monitor participation on down-weeks—staying near typical or above supports continuation.
  • Look for shallow pullbacks holding above the 30-week average.

Smart Money

Early accumulation: trend rising from a depressed zone while pressure is sub-zero. — Often precedes Smart-Money style entries.
Score 0.75 +1 / -0
Early accumulation: trend rising from a depressed zone while pressure is sub-zero.
Early accumulation: trend rising from a depressed zone while pressure is sub-zero. Often precedes Smart-Money style entries. In essence this reflects institutional activity / accumulation-distribution patterns with a bullish tilt.
pol 0.75 conf 0.65 strong · high
What it means
Early accumulation: trend rising from a depressed zone while pressure is sub-zero. Often precedes Smart-Money style entries. In essence this reflects institutional activity / accumulation-distribution patterns with a bullish tilt.
Implications
Improves odds for follow-through if pullbacks hold higher lows. (pol 0.75, conf 0.65 → strong/high)
No additional observations.

Market Dynamics

Dynamics turning up from negative territory. — Early trend repair often precedes price strength.
Score 0.6 +1 / -0 Level -0.467
Dynamics turning up from negative territory.
Dynamics turning up from negative territory. Early trend repair often precedes price strength. In essence this reflects state changes, ribbon flips, and early trend anatomy with a bullish tilt.
pol 0.6 conf 0.403 strong · medium
What it means
Dynamics turning up from negative territory. Early trend repair often precedes price strength. In essence this reflects state changes, ribbon flips, and early trend anatomy with a bullish tilt.
Implications
Improves odds for follow-through if pullbacks hold higher lows. (pol 0.60, conf 0.40 → strong/medium)
No additional observations.

Market Cycle (Mean Reversion Context)

Cycle is below zero and turning up (early mean-reversion attempt). — Earliest entries come as slope flips up sub-zero.
Score 0.6 +1 / -0 Level -13.059
Cycle is below zero and turning up (early mean-reversion attempt).
Cycle is below zero and turning up (early mean-reversion attempt). Earliest entries come as slope flips up sub-zero. In essence this reflects mean-reversion posture and cycle slope with a bullish tilt.
pol 0.6 conf 0.6 strong · medium
What it means
Cycle is below zero and turning up (early mean-reversion attempt). Earliest entries come as slope flips up sub-zero. In essence this reflects mean-reversion posture and cycle slope with a bullish tilt.
Implications
Improves odds for follow-through if pullbacks hold higher lows. Context: level -13.06. (pol 0.60, conf 0.60 → strong/medium)
No additional observations.

Convergence / Divergence (SI vs Price)

Price and Dynamics are aligned to the upside. — Alignment increases reliability of up-moves.
Score 0.5 +1 / -0
Price and Dynamics are aligned to the upside.
Price and Dynamics are aligned to the upside. Alignment increases reliability of up-moves. In essence this reflects alignment between price and strength/intent with a bullish tilt.
pol 0.5 conf 0.6 moderate · medium
What it means
Price and Dynamics are aligned to the upside. Alignment increases reliability of up-moves. In essence this reflects alignment between price and strength/intent with a bullish tilt.
Implications
Improves odds for follow-through if pullbacks hold higher lows. (pol 0.50, conf 0.60 → moderate/medium)
No additional observations.

Open = first traded price of the week. Close = last traded price of the week. High = highest weekly price; Low = lowest. The candle body is the distance between Open and Close (green if Close>Open, red if Close<Open).

Weekly Change = % change from Open to Close in the latest week. Close→Close = % change from last week’s close to this week’s close. 8-week Δ = % change from 8 weeks ago to now. Formula for a % change: (New − Old) / Old × 100.

Shows the average weekly rate of change computed by a simple linear regression (OLS) on weekly closes. We normalise by the average price so the slope is a % per week (comparable across tickers). Positive = up-drift; Negative = down-drift.

Range Regime describes if weekly high-low ranges are compressing (tightening) or expanding (widening), based on the slope of recent ranges.
Compression Ratio compares the latest range to the recent average (e.g., 0.72× means tighter than usual).
Range Percentile shows where the latest range sits within the recent distribution (e.g., 38th pct).
Realised Volatility is the standard deviation of week-to-week Close→Close % changes over the window (a volatility proxy).

%B places the current price inside its Bollinger Bands: 0.0=lower band, 0.5=middle MA, 1.0=upper band. Values >1 or <0 are outside the bands. %B slope is the weekly drift of %B — rising means price is gravitating toward strength. Band location (lower/middle/upper) and Band trend (rising/falling/flat) summarise where price lives and whether that placement is improving.

Participation indicates how active the market is relative to a typical week, expressed as a z-score (see Statistics Primer). Above/near/below typical describe that z-score qualitatively. Participation Bias (skew) shows the tilt between buy-volume and sell-volume (positive = buying-tilt, negative = selling-tilt). Money Flow is a directional read of capital using price+volume (OBV-style). OBV slope is the trend in On-Balance Volume; rising supports accumulation, falling supports distribution.

SMA posture describes whether price is above or below the 30-week and 50-week simple moving averages. Above both is generally constructive; below both is riskier. Distance to SMA is how far price is from a moving average (as a percent). Positive = above, negative = below.

Up vs Down weeks counts how many weeks closed higher than they opened vs lower within the window (e.g., “5 up / 3 down”). Longest streaks show the maximum consecutive up-weeks and down-weeks — a feel for persistence.

Percentage decline from the highest close within the lookback window to the current close. Useful for quantifying downside pressure during corrections.

Relative Strength measures performance vs a benchmark (e.g., index). Mansfield RS is a classic implementation often plotted as a line around a zero baseline. Rising RS implies leadership tailwind; falling RS implies lagging headwind.

Smart Money seeks institutional-style accumulation/distribution footprints. Market Demand assesses buying pressure vs selling pressure (demand vs supply). Market Dynamics tracks state changes/ribbon flips that mark early trend anatomy (constructive vs deteriorating). Market Regime classifies the backdrop (trend-friendly, mean-reverting, or mixed), which helps decide whether to favour momentum or mean-reversion tactics.

Convergence = indicator intent/strength agrees with price direction (higher reliability). Divergence = price moves against indicator intent (warning; lower reliability).

Section Score is the average polarity of observations within a section (−1 to +1). Positives/Negatives = counts of bullish/bearish observations. Leaning = the overall average polarity across all sections. Verdict maps the leaning into “Positive / Neutral / Negative”. Confidence (conf) accompanies an observation and reflects signal quality (low/medium/high).

Mean (average) = sum of values ÷ number of values. Standard Deviation (std dev) measures how spread out values are around the mean. z-score = (value − mean) ÷ std dev; tells how many std devs a value is from typical (0 = typical, +1 ≈ above-average). Percentile locates a value within a distribution (e.g., 80th pct is higher than 80% of recent values). OLS Slope fits a straight line through points (least squares) and reports the line’s gradient (our per-week trend rate).

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