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Charts Price & Volume Weekly Summary Glossary
POL weekly Price Action chart, closing 2025-10-27
POL weekly Smart Money chart
POL Mansfield Relative Strength chart
POL weekly Market Demand chart
POL weekly Market Strength chart
POL weekly Market Dynamics chart
POL weekly Market Threshold chart

Price & Volume (8w)

Concise behaviour read over the last 8 weeks.
Executive summary

Last week closed down (-0.99%), and over the last 8 weeks price is down (-15.97%) with a falling slope (-2.877%/w). Ranges are expanding (current 0.64× mean; 38th pct; realised vol ≈ 2.58%). Price spends time in the lower band (falling), participation is below typical with a selling-tilt bias (z -1.63), money flow is falling, and posture is below 30w & 50w (drawdown -15.97%). Pressure favours further decline unless momentum repairs.

Weekly Change
-0.99%
Close → Close
1.21%
8-week Δ
-15.97%
Slope / week
-2.877%
Range Regime
expanding
%B Band
lower (falling)
Participation
below typical (selling-tilt)
Money Flow
falling
SMA Posture
below 30w & 50w
Drawdown (lookback)
-15.97%
Breadth (Up/Down)
1 up / 6 down
Streaks
↑ 1 ↓ 6
Key signals
−5
Negative
pol -0.35 conf 0.6
Price slope is negative on a weekly basis.
Downtrend pressure dominates the window.
Implications
Slope -2.88% per week; 8-week change -15.97%. Up/Down 1 up / 6 down; longest down-streak 6. Context: posture below 30w & 50w, drawdown -15.97%.
Negative
pol -0.1 conf 0.45
Weekly ranges are expanding.
Volatility expansion — respect risk on both sides.
Implications
Latest range is 0.64× the 8-week mean (38th pct). Realised weekly vol ≈ 2.58%. Confirm with closes beyond prior extremes.
Negative
pol -0.35 conf 0.55
Price persists in the lower band with a deteriorating %B.
Distribution behaviour — rallies face supply.
Implications
%B ≈ 7.20 (trend -4.64/w). Distances: 30w -16.85%, 50w -19.82%. Bias stays fragile while below 30w.
Negative
pol -0.4 conf 0.55
Money flow is falling with participation skewed to sellers.
Supply is pressuring price behaviour.
Implications
Participation z -1.63; skew -0.87 (selling-tilt). OBV slope -4003.49. Breakouts require decisive closes to negate.
Negative
pol -0.25 conf 0.5
Weekly body closed lower while price sits below key averages.
Rallies may fade unless momentum repairs.
Implications
Distance to 30w -16.85%; to 50w -19.82%. Improvement needs higher lows and %B turning up.
All observations
6
Minor drawdown with momentum flattening.
Monitor for stall before adding.
pol conf 0.55

Weekly Report (8w)

Plain-English highlights from each chart — with specific, numerical context.
Verdict: Negative Leaning: -0.26
Executive summary

This week: Smart Money flow tilts to accumulation; relative strength is fading. In practical terms: backdrop leans corrective; rallies face a higher bar for sustainability; bearish divergence lowers the quality of upside attempts.

What to watch next
  • Monitor participation on down-weeks—staying near typical or above supports continuation.

Smart Money

Early accumulation: trend rising from a depressed zone while pressure is sub-zero. — Often precedes Smart-Money style entries.
Score 0.75 +1 / -0
Early accumulation: trend rising from a depressed zone while pressure is sub-zero.
Early accumulation: trend rising from a depressed zone while pressure is sub-zero. Often precedes Smart-Money style entries. In essence this reflects institutional activity / accumulation-distribution patterns with a bullish tilt.
pol 0.75 conf 0.65 strong · high
What it means
Early accumulation: trend rising from a depressed zone while pressure is sub-zero. Often precedes Smart-Money style entries. In essence this reflects institutional activity / accumulation-distribution patterns with a bullish tilt.
Implications
Improves odds for follow-through if pullbacks hold higher lows. (pol 0.75, conf 0.65 → strong/high)
No additional observations.

Market Strength

Relative Strength is negative and deteriorating. — Avoid laggards unless a reversal pattern forms.
Score -0.55 +0 / -1 Level -7.994
Relative Strength is negative and deteriorating.
Relative Strength is negative and deteriorating. Avoid laggards unless a reversal pattern forms. In essence this reflects relative strength vs peers/benchmarks with a bearish tilt.
pol -0.55 conf 0.6 moderate · medium
What it means
Relative Strength is negative and deteriorating. Avoid laggards unless a reversal pattern forms. In essence this reflects relative strength vs peers/benchmarks with a bearish tilt.
Implications
Raises risk of failed breakouts; strength must prove itself on closes. (pol -0.55, conf 0.60 → moderate/medium)
No additional observations.

Mansfield Relative Strength

Mansfield RS vs ^OSEAX is negative and weakening. — Avoid unless a reversal forms.
Score -0.5 +0 / -1
Mansfield RS vs ^OSEAX is negative and weakening.
Mansfield RS vs ^OSEAX is negative and weakening. Avoid unless a reversal forms. In essence this reflects Mansfield relative strength trend with a bearish tilt.
pol -0.5 conf 0.6 moderate · medium
What it means
Mansfield RS vs ^OSEAX is negative and weakening. Avoid unless a reversal forms. In essence this reflects Mansfield relative strength trend with a bearish tilt.
Implications
Raises risk of failed breakouts; strength must prove itself on closes. (pol -0.50, conf 0.60 → moderate/medium)
No additional observations.

Market Regime (Activity)

Activity regime is negative and deteriorating. — Headwinds for sustained uptrends.
Score -0.5 +0 / -1 Level -0.211
Activity regime is negative and deteriorating.
Activity regime is negative and deteriorating. Headwinds for sustained uptrends. In essence this reflects activity/volatility regime (constructive vs corrective) with a bearish tilt.
pol -0.5 conf 0.6 moderate · medium
What it means
Activity regime is negative and deteriorating. Headwinds for sustained uptrends. In essence this reflects activity/volatility regime (constructive vs corrective) with a bearish tilt.
Implications
Raises risk of failed breakouts; strength must prove itself on closes. (pol -0.50, conf 0.60 → moderate/medium)
No additional observations.

Convergence / Divergence (SI vs Price)

Price and Dynamics are aligned to the downside. — Downtrend alignment increases failure risk of bounces.
Score -0.5 +0 / -1
Price and Dynamics are aligned to the downside.
Price and Dynamics are aligned to the downside. Downtrend alignment increases failure risk of bounces. In essence this reflects alignment between price and strength/intent with a bearish tilt.
pol -0.5 conf 0.6 moderate · medium
What it means
Price and Dynamics are aligned to the downside. Downtrend alignment increases failure risk of bounces. In essence this reflects alignment between price and strength/intent with a bearish tilt.
Implications
Raises risk of failed breakouts; strength must prove itself on closes. (pol -0.50, conf 0.60 → moderate/medium)
No additional observations.

Open = first traded price of the week. Close = last traded price of the week. High = highest weekly price; Low = lowest. The candle body is the distance between Open and Close (green if Close>Open, red if Close<Open).

Weekly Change = % change from Open to Close in the latest week. Close→Close = % change from last week’s close to this week’s close. 8-week Δ = % change from 8 weeks ago to now. Formula for a % change: (New − Old) / Old × 100.

Shows the average weekly rate of change computed by a simple linear regression (OLS) on weekly closes. We normalise by the average price so the slope is a % per week (comparable across tickers). Positive = up-drift; Negative = down-drift.

Range Regime describes if weekly high-low ranges are compressing (tightening) or expanding (widening), based on the slope of recent ranges.
Compression Ratio compares the latest range to the recent average (e.g., 0.72× means tighter than usual).
Range Percentile shows where the latest range sits within the recent distribution (e.g., 38th pct).
Realised Volatility is the standard deviation of week-to-week Close→Close % changes over the window (a volatility proxy).

%B places the current price inside its Bollinger Bands: 0.0=lower band, 0.5=middle MA, 1.0=upper band. Values >1 or <0 are outside the bands. %B slope is the weekly drift of %B — rising means price is gravitating toward strength. Band location (lower/middle/upper) and Band trend (rising/falling/flat) summarise where price lives and whether that placement is improving.

Participation indicates how active the market is relative to a typical week, expressed as a z-score (see Statistics Primer). Above/near/below typical describe that z-score qualitatively. Participation Bias (skew) shows the tilt between buy-volume and sell-volume (positive = buying-tilt, negative = selling-tilt). Money Flow is a directional read of capital using price+volume (OBV-style). OBV slope is the trend in On-Balance Volume; rising supports accumulation, falling supports distribution.

SMA posture describes whether price is above or below the 30-week and 50-week simple moving averages. Above both is generally constructive; below both is riskier. Distance to SMA is how far price is from a moving average (as a percent). Positive = above, negative = below.

Up vs Down weeks counts how many weeks closed higher than they opened vs lower within the window (e.g., “5 up / 3 down”). Longest streaks show the maximum consecutive up-weeks and down-weeks — a feel for persistence.

Percentage decline from the highest close within the lookback window to the current close. Useful for quantifying downside pressure during corrections.

Relative Strength measures performance vs a benchmark (e.g., index). Mansfield RS is a classic implementation often plotted as a line around a zero baseline. Rising RS implies leadership tailwind; falling RS implies lagging headwind.

Smart Money seeks institutional-style accumulation/distribution footprints. Market Demand assesses buying pressure vs selling pressure (demand vs supply). Market Dynamics tracks state changes/ribbon flips that mark early trend anatomy (constructive vs deteriorating). Market Regime classifies the backdrop (trend-friendly, mean-reverting, or mixed), which helps decide whether to favour momentum or mean-reversion tactics.

Convergence = indicator intent/strength agrees with price direction (higher reliability). Divergence = price moves against indicator intent (warning; lower reliability).

Section Score is the average polarity of observations within a section (−1 to +1). Positives/Negatives = counts of bullish/bearish observations. Leaning = the overall average polarity across all sections. Verdict maps the leaning into “Positive / Neutral / Negative”. Confidence (conf) accompanies an observation and reflects signal quality (low/medium/high).

Mean (average) = sum of values ÷ number of values. Standard Deviation (std dev) measures how spread out values are around the mean. z-score = (value − mean) ÷ std dev; tells how many std devs a value is from typical (0 = typical, +1 ≈ above-average). Percentile locates a value within a distribution (e.g., 80th pct is higher than 80% of recent values). OLS Slope fits a straight line through points (least squares) and reports the line’s gradient (our per-week trend rate).

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