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Charts Price & Volume Weekly Summary Glossary
AL weekly Price Action chart, closing 2025-10-24
AL weekly Smart Money chart
AL Mansfield Relative Strength chart
AL weekly Market Demand chart
AL weekly Market Strength chart
AL weekly Market Dynamics chart
AL weekly Market Threshold chart

Price & Volume (8w)

Concise behaviour read over the last 8 weeks.
Executive summary

Last week closed down (-0.11%), and over the last 8 weeks price is down (-0.19%) with a falling slope (-0.005%/w). Ranges are expanding (current 0.67× mean; 25th pct; realised vol ≈ 0.25%). Price spends time in the upper band (falling), participation is below typical with a selling-tilt bias (z -2.52), money flow is falling, and posture is above 30w & 50w (drawdown -0.24%). Pressure favours further decline unless momentum repairs.

Weekly Change
-0.11%
Close → Close
-0.13%
8-week Δ
-0.19%
Slope / week
-0.005%
Range Regime
expanding
%B Band
upper (falling)
Participation
below typical (selling-tilt)
Money Flow
falling
SMA Posture
above 30w & 50w
Drawdown (lookback)
-0.24%
Breadth (Up/Down)
3 up / 5 down
Streaks
↑ 1 ↓ 2
Key signals
−2
Negative
pol -0.1 conf 0.45
Weekly ranges are expanding.
Volatility expansion — respect risk on both sides.
Implications
Latest range is 0.67× the 8-week mean (25th pct). Realised weekly vol ≈ 0.25%. Confirm with closes beyond prior extremes.
Negative
pol -0.4 conf 0.55
Money flow is falling with participation skewed to sellers.
Supply is pressuring price behaviour.
Implications
Participation z -2.52; skew -0.37 (selling-tilt). OBV slope -360172.62. Breakouts require decisive closes to negate.
All observations
2

Weekly Report (8w)

Plain-English highlights from each chart — with specific, numerical context.
Verdict: Neutral Leaning: 0.217
Executive summary

This week: relative strength is improving. In practical terms: backdrop is balanced; confirmation from breadth and closes is important; alignment between price and intent improves reliability of advances.

What to watch next
  • Leadership tailwind: breakouts have better odds if RS continues to firm.

Market Cycle (Mean Reversion Context)

Cycle is near its top context while momentum fades. — Take profits into strength; risk of pullback.
Score -0.4 +0 / -1 Level 41.593
Cycle is near its top context while momentum fades.
Cycle is near its top context while momentum fades. Take profits into strength; risk of pullback. In essence this reflects mean-reversion posture and cycle slope with a bearish tilt.
pol -0.4 conf 0.55 moderate · medium
What it means
Cycle is near its top context while momentum fades. Take profits into strength; risk of pullback. In essence this reflects mean-reversion posture and cycle slope with a bearish tilt.
Implications
Raises risk of failed breakouts; strength must prove itself on closes. Context: level 41.59. (pol -0.40, conf 0.55 → moderate/medium)
No additional observations.

Market Strength

Relative Strength is positive and rising. — Leaders tend to keep leading in uptrends.
Score 0.55 +1 / -0 Level 11.519
Relative Strength is positive and rising.
Relative Strength is positive and rising. Leaders tend to keep leading in uptrends. In essence this reflects relative strength vs peers/benchmarks with a bullish tilt.
pol 0.55 conf 0.6 moderate · medium
What it means
Relative Strength is positive and rising. Leaders tend to keep leading in uptrends. In essence this reflects relative strength vs peers/benchmarks with a bullish tilt.
Implications
Improves odds for follow-through if pullbacks hold higher lows. (pol 0.55, conf 0.60 → moderate/medium)
No additional observations.

Convergence / Divergence (SI vs Price)

Price and Dynamics are aligned to the upside. — Alignment increases reliability of up-moves.
Score 0.5 +1 / -0
Price and Dynamics are aligned to the upside.
Price and Dynamics are aligned to the upside. Alignment increases reliability of up-moves. In essence this reflects alignment between price and strength/intent with a bullish tilt.
pol 0.5 conf 0.6 moderate · medium
What it means
Price and Dynamics are aligned to the upside. Alignment increases reliability of up-moves. In essence this reflects alignment between price and strength/intent with a bullish tilt.
Implications
Improves odds for follow-through if pullbacks hold higher lows. (pol 0.50, conf 0.60 → moderate/medium)
No additional observations.

Open = first traded price of the week. Close = last traded price of the week. High = highest weekly price; Low = lowest. The candle body is the distance between Open and Close (green if Close>Open, red if Close<Open).

Weekly Change = % change from Open to Close in the latest week. Close→Close = % change from last week’s close to this week’s close. 8-week Δ = % change from 8 weeks ago to now. Formula for a % change: (New − Old) / Old × 100.

Shows the average weekly rate of change computed by a simple linear regression (OLS) on weekly closes. We normalise by the average price so the slope is a % per week (comparable across tickers). Positive = up-drift; Negative = down-drift.

Range Regime describes if weekly high-low ranges are compressing (tightening) or expanding (widening), based on the slope of recent ranges.
Compression Ratio compares the latest range to the recent average (e.g., 0.72× means tighter than usual).
Range Percentile shows where the latest range sits within the recent distribution (e.g., 38th pct).
Realised Volatility is the standard deviation of week-to-week Close→Close % changes over the window (a volatility proxy).

%B places the current price inside its Bollinger Bands: 0.0=lower band, 0.5=middle MA, 1.0=upper band. Values >1 or <0 are outside the bands. %B slope is the weekly drift of %B — rising means price is gravitating toward strength. Band location (lower/middle/upper) and Band trend (rising/falling/flat) summarise where price lives and whether that placement is improving.

Participation indicates how active the market is relative to a typical week, expressed as a z-score (see Statistics Primer). Above/near/below typical describe that z-score qualitatively. Participation Bias (skew) shows the tilt between buy-volume and sell-volume (positive = buying-tilt, negative = selling-tilt). Money Flow is a directional read of capital using price+volume (OBV-style). OBV slope is the trend in On-Balance Volume; rising supports accumulation, falling supports distribution.

SMA posture describes whether price is above or below the 30-week and 50-week simple moving averages. Above both is generally constructive; below both is riskier. Distance to SMA is how far price is from a moving average (as a percent). Positive = above, negative = below.

Up vs Down weeks counts how many weeks closed higher than they opened vs lower within the window (e.g., “5 up / 3 down”). Longest streaks show the maximum consecutive up-weeks and down-weeks — a feel for persistence.

Percentage decline from the highest close within the lookback window to the current close. Useful for quantifying downside pressure during corrections.

Relative Strength measures performance vs a benchmark (e.g., index). Mansfield RS is a classic implementation often plotted as a line around a zero baseline. Rising RS implies leadership tailwind; falling RS implies lagging headwind.

Smart Money seeks institutional-style accumulation/distribution footprints. Market Demand assesses buying pressure vs selling pressure (demand vs supply). Market Dynamics tracks state changes/ribbon flips that mark early trend anatomy (constructive vs deteriorating). Market Regime classifies the backdrop (trend-friendly, mean-reverting, or mixed), which helps decide whether to favour momentum or mean-reversion tactics.

Convergence = indicator intent/strength agrees with price direction (higher reliability). Divergence = price moves against indicator intent (warning; lower reliability).

Section Score is the average polarity of observations within a section (−1 to +1). Positives/Negatives = counts of bullish/bearish observations. Leaning = the overall average polarity across all sections. Verdict maps the leaning into “Positive / Neutral / Negative”. Confidence (conf) accompanies an observation and reflects signal quality (low/medium/high).

Mean (average) = sum of values ÷ number of values. Standard Deviation (std dev) measures how spread out values are around the mean. z-score = (value − mean) ÷ std dev; tells how many std devs a value is from typical (0 = typical, +1 ≈ above-average). Percentile locates a value within a distribution (e.g., 80th pct is higher than 80% of recent values). OLS Slope fits a straight line through points (least squares) and reports the line’s gradient (our per-week trend rate).

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