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Charts Price & Volume Weekly Summary Glossary
SWON weekly Price Action chart, closing 2025-10-27
SWON weekly Smart Money chart
SWON Mansfield Relative Strength chart
SWON weekly Market Demand chart
SWON weekly Market Strength chart
SWON weekly Market Dynamics chart
SWON weekly Market Threshold chart

Price & Volume (8w)

Concise behaviour read over the last 8 weeks.
Executive summary

Last week closed down (-0.25%), and over the last 8 weeks price is up (2.33%) with a rising slope (0.097%/w). Ranges are compressing (current 0.46× mean; 12th pct; realised vol ≈ 5.15%). Price spends time in the — band (flat), participation is near typical with a balanced bias (z +0.00), money flow is flat, and posture is above 30w & 50w (drawdown 0.00%). Balance is mixed; watch participation shifts and behaviour at the 30-week average.

Weekly Change
-0.25%
Close → Close
-3.56%
8-week Δ
2.33%
Slope / week
0.097%
Range Regime
compressing
%B Band
— (flat)
Participation
near typical (balanced)
Money Flow
flat
SMA Posture
above 30w & 50w
Drawdown (lookback)
0.0%
Breadth (Up/Down)
0 up / 0 down
Streaks
↑ 2 ↓ 2
Key signals
+1
Positive
pol 0.2 conf 0.5
Weekly ranges are compressing.
Energy is coiling; breakouts often follow volatility contraction.
Implications
Current range is 0.46× the 8-week mean (12th pct). Realised weekly vol ≈ 5.15%. Watch for expansion days to confirm direction.
All observations
1

Weekly Report (8w)

Plain-English highlights from each chart — with specific, numerical context.
Verdict: Neutral Leaning: 0.1
Executive summary

This week: market dynamics are constructive (early-trend state improving). In practical terms: backdrop is balanced; confirmation from breadth and closes is important; bearish divergence lowers the quality of upside attempts.

What to watch next
  • Watch breadth (Up/Down mix) and %B slope to indicate directional follow-through.

Market Dynamics

Recent ribbon flip to green. — First bars of a new state can build trend.
Score 0.5 +1 / -0 Level 0.135
Recent ribbon flip to green.
Recent ribbon flip to green. First bars of a new state can build trend. In essence this reflects state changes, ribbon flips, and early trend anatomy with a bullish tilt.
pol 0.5 conf 0.6 moderate · medium
What it means
Recent ribbon flip to green. First bars of a new state can build trend. In essence this reflects state changes, ribbon flips, and early trend anatomy with a bullish tilt.
Implications
Improves odds for follow-through if pullbacks hold higher lows. (pol 0.50, conf 0.60 → moderate/medium)
No additional observations.

Market Cycle (Mean Reversion Context)

Cycle is below zero and turning up (early mean-reversion attempt). — Earliest entries come as slope flips up sub-zero.
Score 0.6 +1 / -0 Level -0.799
Cycle is below zero and turning up (early mean-reversion attempt).
Cycle is below zero and turning up (early mean-reversion attempt). Earliest entries come as slope flips up sub-zero. In essence this reflects mean-reversion posture and cycle slope with a bullish tilt.
pol 0.6 conf 0.6 strong · medium
What it means
Cycle is below zero and turning up (early mean-reversion attempt). Earliest entries come as slope flips up sub-zero. In essence this reflects mean-reversion posture and cycle slope with a bullish tilt.
Implications
Improves odds for follow-through if pullbacks hold higher lows. Context: level -0.80. (pol 0.60, conf 0.60 → strong/medium)
No additional observations.

Market Regime (Activity)

Activity regime is negative and deteriorating. — Headwinds for sustained uptrends.
Score -0.5 +0 / -1 Level -0.242
Activity regime is negative and deteriorating.
Activity regime is negative and deteriorating. Headwinds for sustained uptrends. In essence this reflects activity/volatility regime (constructive vs corrective) with a bearish tilt.
pol -0.5 conf 0.6 moderate · medium
What it means
Activity regime is negative and deteriorating. Headwinds for sustained uptrends. In essence this reflects activity/volatility regime (constructive vs corrective) with a bearish tilt.
Implications
Raises risk of failed breakouts; strength must prove itself on closes. (pol -0.50, conf 0.60 → moderate/medium)
No additional observations.

Convergence / Divergence (SI vs Price)

Price and Dynamics disagree (tug-of-war). — Wait for resolution or use smaller sizing.
Score -0.2 +0 / -1
Price and Dynamics disagree (tug-of-war).
Price and Dynamics disagree (tug-of-war). Wait for resolution or use smaller sizing. In essence this reflects alignment between price and strength/intent with a bearish tilt.
pol -0.2 conf 0.5 mild · medium
What it means
Price and Dynamics disagree (tug-of-war). Wait for resolution or use smaller sizing. In essence this reflects alignment between price and strength/intent with a bearish tilt.
Implications
Raises risk of failed breakouts; strength must prove itself on closes. (pol -0.20, conf 0.50 → mild/medium)
No additional observations.

Open = first traded price of the week. Close = last traded price of the week. High = highest weekly price; Low = lowest. The candle body is the distance between Open and Close (green if Close>Open, red if Close<Open).

Weekly Change = % change from Open to Close in the latest week. Close→Close = % change from last week’s close to this week’s close. 8-week Δ = % change from 8 weeks ago to now. Formula for a % change: (New − Old) / Old × 100.

Shows the average weekly rate of change computed by a simple linear regression (OLS) on weekly closes. We normalise by the average price so the slope is a % per week (comparable across tickers). Positive = up-drift; Negative = down-drift.

Range Regime describes if weekly high-low ranges are compressing (tightening) or expanding (widening), based on the slope of recent ranges.
Compression Ratio compares the latest range to the recent average (e.g., 0.72× means tighter than usual).
Range Percentile shows where the latest range sits within the recent distribution (e.g., 38th pct).
Realised Volatility is the standard deviation of week-to-week Close→Close % changes over the window (a volatility proxy).

%B places the current price inside its Bollinger Bands: 0.0=lower band, 0.5=middle MA, 1.0=upper band. Values >1 or <0 are outside the bands. %B slope is the weekly drift of %B — rising means price is gravitating toward strength. Band location (lower/middle/upper) and Band trend (rising/falling/flat) summarise where price lives and whether that placement is improving.

Participation indicates how active the market is relative to a typical week, expressed as a z-score (see Statistics Primer). Above/near/below typical describe that z-score qualitatively. Participation Bias (skew) shows the tilt between buy-volume and sell-volume (positive = buying-tilt, negative = selling-tilt). Money Flow is a directional read of capital using price+volume (OBV-style). OBV slope is the trend in On-Balance Volume; rising supports accumulation, falling supports distribution.

SMA posture describes whether price is above or below the 30-week and 50-week simple moving averages. Above both is generally constructive; below both is riskier. Distance to SMA is how far price is from a moving average (as a percent). Positive = above, negative = below.

Up vs Down weeks counts how many weeks closed higher than they opened vs lower within the window (e.g., “5 up / 3 down”). Longest streaks show the maximum consecutive up-weeks and down-weeks — a feel for persistence.

Percentage decline from the highest close within the lookback window to the current close. Useful for quantifying downside pressure during corrections.

Relative Strength measures performance vs a benchmark (e.g., index). Mansfield RS is a classic implementation often plotted as a line around a zero baseline. Rising RS implies leadership tailwind; falling RS implies lagging headwind.

Smart Money seeks institutional-style accumulation/distribution footprints. Market Demand assesses buying pressure vs selling pressure (demand vs supply). Market Dynamics tracks state changes/ribbon flips that mark early trend anatomy (constructive vs deteriorating). Market Regime classifies the backdrop (trend-friendly, mean-reverting, or mixed), which helps decide whether to favour momentum or mean-reversion tactics.

Convergence = indicator intent/strength agrees with price direction (higher reliability). Divergence = price moves against indicator intent (warning; lower reliability).

Section Score is the average polarity of observations within a section (−1 to +1). Positives/Negatives = counts of bullish/bearish observations. Leaning = the overall average polarity across all sections. Verdict maps the leaning into “Positive / Neutral / Negative”. Confidence (conf) accompanies an observation and reflects signal quality (low/medium/high).

Mean (average) = sum of values ÷ number of values. Standard Deviation (std dev) measures how spread out values are around the mean. z-score = (value − mean) ÷ std dev; tells how many std devs a value is from typical (0 = typical, +1 ≈ above-average). Percentile locates a value within a distribution (e.g., 80th pct is higher than 80% of recent values). OLS Slope fits a straight line through points (least squares) and reports the line’s gradient (our per-week trend rate).

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